πagarwalmath · 4th grade · Virginia SOL 4.PS.2
🎲 Likely or unlikely?
How likely something is (impossible to certain), and probability as a fraction
Name: ______________________Date: ____________
1You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔴🟢🟢🔴🟢🔴- Ared is more likely
- Bgreen is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
2You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔴🟢🔴🟢🔴🟢🔴🟢🔴🟢- Ared is more likely
- Bgreen is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
3You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔴🟡🔴🔴🔴🔴- Ared is more likely
- Byellow is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
4You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟢🟡🟢🟡🟢🟡🟢🟡🟢🟡- Agreen is more likely
- Byellow is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
5You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟡🔴🔴🟡🔴🔴🔴🔴- Ayellow is more likely
- Bred is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
6You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟡🟡🟡🟡🔵🟡🟡🔵- Ayellow is more likely
- Bblue is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
7You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🟢🔵🔵🟢🟢🔵🟢- Ablue is more likely
- Bgreen is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
8You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🟢🟢🔵🟢🟢🟢🟢- Ablue is more likely
- Bgreen is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
9You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟡🟡🟡🟡🟢🟡🟡🟢- Ayellow is more likely
- Bgreen is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
10You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking yellow impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟡🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
11You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking red impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔴🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
12You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking blue impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟡🟢🟡🟡🟢🟢🟡- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
Answer key: Likely or unlikely?
- 1. C (They are equally likely)
- 2. C (They are equally likely)
- 3. A (red is more likely)
- 4. C (They are equally likely)
- 5. B (red is more likely)
- 6. A (yellow is more likely)
- 7. C (They are equally likely)
- 8. B (green is more likely)
- 9. A (yellow is more likely)
- 10. B (unlikely)
- 11. B (unlikely)
- 12. A (impossible)
Practice this lesson online with games that adjust to your child: agarwalmath.com/math/4th-grade/data-probability