πagarwalmath · 4th grade · Virginia SOL 4.PS.2
🎲 Likely or unlikely?
How likely something is (impossible to certain), and probability as a fraction
Name: ______________________Date: ____________
1You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking green impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟢🟡🟢🟢🟡🟢- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
2You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟢🔴🟢🔴🟢🔴🟢🔴🟢🔴- Agreen is more likely
- Bred is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
3You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟡🔴🟡🟡🟡🟡- Ayellow is more likely
- Bred is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
4You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking green impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟢🟡🟡🟢🟡🟡- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
5You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🟡🟡🔵🟡🟡🟡🟡- Ablue is more likely
- Byellow is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
6You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟢🟡🟡🟢🟡🟡🟡🟡- Agreen is more likely
- Byellow is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
7You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🟢🔵🟢🔵🟢🔵🟢🔵🟢- Ablue is more likely
- Bgreen is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
8You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking blue impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔵🔵🔵🔵🔵🔵- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
9You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking yellow impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔴🔵🔴🔵🔴🔵🔵🔵🔴🔵- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
10You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking blue impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔵🟡🟡🔵🟡🟡🟡- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
11You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking green impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟢🟡🟢🟢🟢🟢- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
12You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking green impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟢🔵🔵🔵🟢🔵🔵🔵🔵🔵- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
Answer key: Likely or unlikely?
- 1. C (likely)
- 2. C (They are equally likely)
- 3. A (yellow is more likely)
- 4. B (unlikely)
- 5. B (yellow is more likely)
- 6. B (yellow is more likely)
- 7. C (They are equally likely)
- 8. D (certain)
- 9. A (impossible)
- 10. B (unlikely)
- 11. C (likely)
- 12. B (unlikely)
Practice this lesson online with games that adjust to your child: agarwalmath.com/math/4th-grade/data-probability