πagarwalmath · 4th grade · Virginia SOL 4.PS.2
🎲 Likely or unlikely?
How likely something is (impossible to certain), and probability as a fraction
Name: ______________________Date: ____________
1You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking green impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟢🟡🟢🟢🟡🟢🟢- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
2You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🔵🔵🔵🔴🔵🔵🔴- Ablue is more likely
- Bred is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
3You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking yellow impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟡🔴🔴🟡🔴🔴🔴- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
4You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟡🔴🟡🟡🔴🔴🟡🔴- Ayellow is more likely
- Bred is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
5You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟡🔴🔴🟡🔴🟡- Ayellow is more likely
- Bred is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
6You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔴🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢- Ared is more likely
- Bgreen is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
7You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking yellow impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔵🟢🟢🔵🟢🟢🔵- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
8You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking blue impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔵🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
9You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔴🔴🔴🔴🔵🔴🔴🔵- Ared is more likely
- Bblue is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
10You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟢🟡🟢🟢🟢🟢- Agreen is more likely
- Byellow is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
11You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🟢🔵🟢🔵🟢🔵🟢🔵🟢- Ablue is more likely
- Bgreen is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
12You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟢🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡- Agreen is more likely
- Byellow is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
Answer key: Likely or unlikely?
- 1. C (likely)
- 2. A (blue is more likely)
- 3. B (unlikely)
- 4. C (They are equally likely)
- 5. C (They are equally likely)
- 6. B (green is more likely)
- 7. A (impossible)
- 8. B (unlikely)
- 9. A (red is more likely)
- 10. A (green is more likely)
- 11. C (They are equally likely)
- 12. B (yellow is more likely)
Practice this lesson online with games that adjust to your child: agarwalmath.com/math/4th-grade/data-probability