πagarwalmath · 4th grade · Virginia SOL 4.PS.2
🎲 Likely or unlikely?
How likely something is (impossible to certain), and probability as a fraction
Name: ______________________Date: ____________
1You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴- Ablue is more likely
- Bred is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
2You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking red impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔴🔵🔵🔵🔴🔵🔵🔵🔵- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
3You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking yellow impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟡🔵🟡🟡🟡🟡- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
4You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking blue impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔵🟡🔵🔵🟡🔵- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
5You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking yellow impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟡🟡🟡🔵🟡🟡🟡🔵🟡🟡- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
6You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking red impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟢🟡🟢🟢🟡🟢- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
7You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking yellow impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
8You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🟡🔵🟡🔵🟡🔵🟡🔵🟡- Ablue is more likely
- Byellow is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
9You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟡🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢- Ayellow is more likely
- Bgreen is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
10You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟡🔴🟡🟡🔴🔴🟡🔴- Ayellow is more likely
- Bred is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
11You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking yellow impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟡🟢🟢🟡🟢🟢- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
12You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟢🟡🟢🟢🟡🟡🟢🟡- Agreen is more likely
- Byellow is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
Answer key: Likely or unlikely?
- 1. B (red is more likely)
- 2. B (unlikely)
- 3. C (likely)
- 4. C (likely)
- 5. C (likely)
- 6. A (impossible)
- 7. D (certain)
- 8. C (They are equally likely)
- 9. B (green is more likely)
- 10. C (They are equally likely)
- 11. B (unlikely)
- 12. C (They are equally likely)
Practice this lesson online with games that adjust to your child: agarwalmath.com/math/4th-grade/data-probability