πagarwalmath · 4th grade · Virginia SOL 4.PS.2
🎲 Likely or unlikely?
How likely something is (impossible to certain), and probability as a fraction
Name: ______________________Date: ____________
1You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔴🔵🔵🔴🔵🔴- Ared is more likely
- Bblue is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
2You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡- Ablue is more likely
- Byellow is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
3You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking blue impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔵🔵🔵🔵🔵🔵- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
4You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking green impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔴🔵🔴🔵🔴🔵🔴🔴🔵- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
5You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🟡🟡🔵🟡🟡🟡🟡- Ablue is more likely
- Byellow is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
6You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🔴🔴🔵🔴🔴🔴🔴- Ablue is more likely
- Bred is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
7You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🟢🔵🟢🔵🟢🔵🟢🔵🟢- Ablue is more likely
- Bgreen is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
8You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟢🔵🟢🟢🟢🟢- Agreen is more likely
- Bblue is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
9You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🔴🔵🔵🔴🔴🔵🔴- Ablue is more likely
- Bred is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
10You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟡🔵🟡🔵🟡🔵🟡🔵🟡🔵- Ayellow is more likely
- Bblue is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
11You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟡🟢🟡🟡🟢🟢🟡🟢- Ayellow is more likely
- Bgreen is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
12You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟡🔴🟡🟡🟡🟡- Ayellow is more likely
- Bred is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
Answer key: Likely or unlikely?
- 1. C (They are equally likely)
- 2. B (yellow is more likely)
- 3. D (certain)
- 4. A (impossible)
- 5. B (yellow is more likely)
- 6. B (red is more likely)
- 7. C (They are equally likely)
- 8. A (green is more likely)
- 9. C (They are equally likely)
- 10. C (They are equally likely)
- 11. C (They are equally likely)
- 12. A (yellow is more likely)
Practice this lesson online with games that adjust to your child: agarwalmath.com/math/4th-grade/data-probability