πagarwalmath · 4th grade · Virginia SOL 4.PS.2
🎲 Likely or unlikely?
How likely something is (impossible to certain), and probability as a fraction
Name: ______________________Date: ____________
1You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🔵🔴🔵🔵🔵🔵- Ablue is more likely
- Bred is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
2You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟡🔵🟡🟡🟡🟡- Ayellow is more likely
- Bblue is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
3You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking green impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
4You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking green impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢🟢- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
5You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking blue impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔵🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡🟡- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
6You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking blue impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔵🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
7You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟢🔴🟢🟢🟢🟢- Agreen is more likely
- Bred is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
8You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking green impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔴🟡🟡🔴🟡🟡🔴- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
9You pick one marble without looking. Which is true?
🟡🟢🟢🟡🟢🟡- Ayellow is more likely
- Bgreen is more likely
- CThey are equally likely
10You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking red impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴🔴- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
11You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking green impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🟡🔵🟡🔵🟡🔵🟡🟡🔵- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
12You pick one marble from the bag without looking. Is picking blue impossible, unlikely, likely, or certain?
🔵🔵🔵🔴🔵🔵🔵🔵🔴- Aimpossible
- Bunlikely
- Clikely
- Dcertain
Answer key: Likely or unlikely?
- 1. A (blue is more likely)
- 2. A (yellow is more likely)
- 3. D (certain)
- 4. D (certain)
- 5. B (unlikely)
- 6. B (unlikely)
- 7. A (green is more likely)
- 8. A (impossible)
- 9. C (They are equally likely)
- 10. D (certain)
- 11. A (impossible)
- 12. C (likely)
Practice this lesson online with games that adjust to your child: agarwalmath.com/math/4th-grade/data-probability